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What are market forecasts in shipping based on?

"Shipping market forecasts draw on a range of quantitative and qualitative inputs: global trade volume projections, fleet supply (including order books and scrapping activity), port congestion data, fuel cost assumptions, and macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth and industrial production.

These inputs feed into supply-demand models that estimate future charter rates and asset values across vessel segments.

The forecasting process is inherently iterative — unexpected disruptions, regulatory shifts, or demand shocks require continuous revision. Treating any forecast as definitive carries significant risk in an asset class as volatile as shipping."